Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Gold falls on U.S. fiscal and monetary uncertainty

Gold falls on U.S. fiscal and monetary uncertainty
 
 Gold prices edged lower yesterday as a U.S. government shutdown loomed large in afternoon trading, which repelled investors away from risk-on assets.

The dollar, which normally moves inversely with gold, headed lower earlier, though investors continued to steer clear of the yellow metal and favored the dollar somewhat on sentiments that when fiscal woes subside, the Federal Reserve will be closer to dismantling monetary stimulus programs.

Gold futures were likely to find support at USD1,306.20 a troy ounce, Tuesday's low, and resistance at USD1,375.10, the high from Sept. 19.

The U.S. Congress must approve a spending package by the end of the day to avoid a government shutdown, and waning faith for a last-minute deal steered investors away the dollar as well as from gold and into other safe-haven assets such as the yen earlier. 

Congressional Republicans and Democrats continued to spar over President Barack Obama's healthcare law, a bargaining chip to fund a spending package to keep the government running.
 
Oil falls as U.S. politics limit risk appetite
 
Oil futures traded lower in the early part of Tuesday’s Asian session as traders backed away from riskier assets on fears of U.S. government shutdown. 

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures fell 0.08% to USD102.25 per barrel in Asian trading Tuesday. The November contract settled lower by 0.52% at USD102.33 per barrel on Monday. 

Oil traders appeared to gloss over some decent U.S. data and focused more political haggling in the U.S. that could result in a government closure. 

In U.S. economic news out Monday, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported earlier that its general business activity index increased to 12.8 in September from 5.0 in August, beating market calls for the index to remain unchanged.
 
Time
Cur.
Event
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Tuesday, October 1
All Day
 
China - National Day
6:30
  CNY
Chinese Manufacturing PMI
51.1
51.5
51
10:30
  INR
HSBC Markit Manufacturing PMI
 
 
48.5
13:28
  EUR
Manufacturing PMI
 
51.1
51.1
13:58
  GBP
Manufacturing PMI
 
57.3
57.2
14:30
  EUR
Unemployment Rate
 
12.10%
12.10%
18:25
  USD
Redbook (MoM)
 
 
-0.40%
18:25
  USD
Redbook (YoY)
 
 
3.60%
18:28
  USD
Manufacturing PMI
 
52.8
52.8
19:30
  USD
Construction Spending (MoM)
 
0.40%
0.60%
19:30
  USD
ISM Manufacturing Index
 
55
55.7
19:30
  USD
ISM Manufacturing Prices
 
55
54
21:00
  USD
4-Week Bill Auction
 
 
0.02%

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